U.S. 10-Year Yield Touches 5.34%, Its Highest Since 2002, as Oil Tops $100

Bond markets are pricing more rate hikes from central banks that have already turned hawkish. A chip rally kept U.S. stocks in the green; Europe fell 1.3%.

By Global Terminal Staff · 2 min read

U.S. 10-year5.24%−0.06

U.S. 30-year5.67%—

Brent crude100.60+2.61%

S&P 5007,673.89+0.29%

Why it matters

The 10-year Treasury yield is the base for mortgages, corporate bonds and stock valuations around the world.
The Fed, the ECB and the Bank of Japan all raised rates in September, and officials are signaling more.
Oil above $100 keeps inflation high, which makes rate cuts unlikely any time soon.

Market board Close, Oct. 1, 2026

Market	Last	Change
S&P 500U.S.	7,673.89	+0.29%
Dow JonesU.S.	50,912.33	+0.01%
Nasdaq CompositeU.S.	26,929.52	+0.25%
Russell 2000U.S. small caps	2,808.59	+0.42%
VIXU.S. volatility	16.35	+0.06%
STOXX Europe 600Europe	626.65	−1.30%
Nikkei 225Japan	68,956.72	+3.30%
Hang SengHong Kong · last close Sept. 30	24,613.27	+0.37%
U.S. 10-yearTreasury yield	5.24%	−0.06
U.S. 30-yearTreasury yield, intraday	5.67%	—
Fed fundsTarget range	3.75–4.00%	—
U.S. prime rateSince Sept. 17	7.00%	—
Dollar indexDXY, approx.	101.5	—
EUR/USDEuro, approx.	1.130	—
USD/JPYYen, approx.	158.20	+0.50%
GBP/USDPound, approx.	1.325	—
Brent crude$ per barrel	100.60	+2.61%
WTI crude$ per barrel	92.96	+2.81%
Gold$ per ounce	4,208.60	+0.52%
Silver$ per ounce	61.55	+1.62%
BitcoinU.S. dollars	84,666	+1.33%

All markets → · About our data

World heat map Daily % change

Japan+3.30%Nikkei 225

U.S. small caps+0.42%Russell 2000

U.S.+0.29%S&P 500

U.S. tech+0.25%Nasdaq Composite

U.S. blue chips+0.01%Dow Jones

Europe−1.30%STOXX Europe 600

Hong KongClosedClosed Oct. 1

ChinaClosedGolden Week

A large blue and yellow euro sign sculpture

Central Banks · Analysis

The World Is Hiking Again: What September's Central Bank Decisions Mean

The Fed, the ECB and the Bank of Japan all raised rates within nine days. The Bank of England held, but only narrowly. Here is where each stands and what comes next.

A columned government building with an American flag

Rates · Explainer

Why Bond Yields Matter Even If You Don't Own Bonds

The 10-year Treasury yield sets the price of money around the world. Here is how it reaches mortgages, stocks and currencies.

A "We Are Hiring" sign in the window of a brick building

Economy · News

September Jobs Report: What to Watch Friday

Economists expect slower hiring after August's surprise. With the Fed weighing another hike, wages and the unemployment rate may matter more than the headline.

U.S. Treasury yields in September Daily par yields, percent

10-year2-year

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury. Market closes differ slightly from Treasury par yields.

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